
Oil is a limited resource and one of the most volatile commodities that can be traded on the financial markets. Oil futures are financial contracts in which a buyer and a seller agree to trade a specified number of barrels of oil at a fixed price set for a future date. Oil futures trading is the act of buying and selling these contracts, which are simple in theory but come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. To trade in oil futures, you need patience, boldness, and a large cash flow.
Characteristics | Values |
---|---|
Oil futures | Financial contracts in which a buyer and a seller agree to trade a specified number of barrels of oil at a fixed price set for a future date |
Oil futures trading | The act of buying and selling crude oil futures |
Participants | Oil producers, airlines, banks, hedge funds, commodity trading advisors, money managers, investors, short-term speculators, and longer-term investors |
Risks | 71% of retail client accounts lose money when trading CFDs; CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage |
Benefits | No overnight funding charges; trade oil futures if you’re looking to take a longer-term position on an underlying market |
Other options | ETFs, mutual funds, oil futures options, related ETFs and ETNs, energy stocks, commodity and midstream exchange-traded funds, volumetric production payments (VPPs) |
What You'll Learn
Oil futures are financial contracts
Oil futures contracts are simple in theory. They continue the time-honored practice of certain participants in the market selling risk to others who gladly buy it in the hopes of making money. To trade in oil futures, you need two characteristics that are often disparate: patience and boldness (in addition to a large cash flow). Buyers and sellers establish a price that oil will trade at not today, but on some future date. The added frequency and regularity of oil contracts make it easier for investors to determine trends, or expected trends, in the eventual price of oil. There are infinite variables that determine the eventual price of oil, but our brains are capable of weighing only the most obvious ones, such as oil's current price.
Crude oil futures give the buyer the obligation to buy the underlying market, and the seller the obligation to sell at, or before, the contract's expiry. The level at which a futures contract is currently trading is also the price at which the upcoming transaction will take place. For example, if an oil future is currently listed at $75, this will be the level at which the asset will be traded when the contract reaches its expiry date (or 'settles').
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail client accounts lose money when trading CFDs, with this investment provider. You should consider whether you understand how this product works and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Buyers and sellers agree to trade a specified number of barrels
Oil futures are financial contracts in which a buyer and a seller agree to trade a specified number of barrels of oil at a fixed price set for a future date. The buyer has the obligation to buy the underlying market, and the seller has the obligation to sell at, or before, the contract’s expiry. The level at which a futures contract is currently trading is also the price at which the upcoming transaction will take place. For example, if an oil future is currently listed at $75, this will be the level at which the asset will be traded when the contract reaches its expiry date (or ‘settles’). The person buying the oil is said to be ‘long’ on the future, while the seller is ‘short’.
Oil futures trading is the act of buying and selling crude oil futures. Traditionally, you would trade crude oil futures if you were an oil producer or used oil as an industry input. Oil is one of the most volatile commodities that can be traded on the financial markets. Oil futures are contracts in which you agree to exchange a set amount of oil at a set price on a set date. They are the most common method of buying and selling oil.
The best time of day to trade oil is when the markets are most active. These periods can occur quite regularly as oil is such a popular and volatile market. There is usually a lot of activity when the underlying exchanges first open, and in the last half an hour or so before they close. So, if you were looking to trade WTI, for example, you’d need to look at the trading hours for the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) – which would be 1 pm and 6.30 pm (UK time). You can trade oil for nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week, depending on which market you choose.
In October 2020, the next month’s futures contracts—November 2020—were selling for $40.25. The following month’s—December 2020—was at $40.53; January 2021 was $40.88; February 2021 was $40.22; and at some point, two years from then, oil prices (or at least, oil prices as predicted by the level of futures contracts) were predicted to hit $43.46 a barrel.
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The contract is set for a future date
Oil is one of the most volatile commodities that can be traded on the financial markets. Oil futures are financial contracts in which a buyer and a seller agree to trade a specified number of barrels of oil at a fixed price set for a future date. This is known as the contract's expiry or settlement date. The contract is set for a future date, and the price is determined based on the current trading level of the futures contract. For example, if an oil future is currently listed at $75, the asset will be traded at $75 when the contract expires. This is known as the "long" buyer position, where the buyer agrees to purchase the underlying market, while the seller is in the "short" position, agreeing to sell at or before the contract's expiry.
Oil futures trading involves buying and selling crude oil futures. Traditionally, oil producers or industries that rely on oil as an input would engage in this type of trading. However, in recent years, investors have shown an increased interest in adding oil futures to their portfolios to diversify their investments or hedge against inflation risks. Oil futures contracts provide a way to speculate on oil prices, and the added frequency and regularity of these contracts make it easier for investors to identify trends and expected trends in oil prices.
The contract's expiry date is crucial, as it determines when the transaction will take place. Oil futures contracts are typically traded on exchanges such as the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), and the trading hours of these exchanges influence the best times to trade oil futures. Oil can be traded nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week, depending on the chosen market.
It is important to note that oil futures trading carries risks. Oil is a highly volatile market, and prices can fluctuate significantly. Additionally, concerns have been raised about the impact of non-commercial commodity trading and investment on liquidity and price movements. As with any investment, it is essential to understand the risks involved and consult appropriate professional advice before proceeding.
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Oil is a volatile commodity
Oil futures are financial contracts in which a buyer and a seller agree to trade a specified number of barrels of oil at a fixed price set for a future date. The buyer is said to be 'long' on the future, while the seller is 'short'. Oil futures trading is the act of buying and selling these futures contracts. Traditionally, oil producers or industries that use oil as an input would trade oil futures.
Traders can benefit from volatile oil prices by using derivative strategies. For example, a "long straddle" is a strategy employed by traders to profit from an increase in volatility. It consists of buying a call and a put option at the same strike price. The strategy becomes profitable if there is a sizeable move in either direction.
The recent volatility in oil prices presents an excellent opportunity for traders to make a profit if they are able to predict the right direction. Volatility is measured as the expected change in the price of an instrument in either direction. For example, if oil volatility is 15% and current oil prices are $100, traders expect oil prices to change by 15% in either direction in the next year.
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Trading oil requires patience and boldness
Trading oil requires a unique combination of patience and boldness, as well as a large bankroll. Oil is one of the most volatile commodities that can be traded on the financial markets. Oil futures contracts are simple in theory: they involve the time-honoured practice of certain participants in the market selling risk to others who buy it in the hopes of making money. Buyers and sellers establish a price that oil will trade at on some future date.
While no one knows what price oil will be trading at in nine months, players in the futures market believe they can predict this. For example, suppose that Commodity X, which currently sells at $30, will be available for $35 in a contract dated for next January. A speculator who thinks that the price will, in actuality, shoot past that, say to $45, by that time can thus purchase the $35 contract. If their prediction is correct, they can then buy X at $35 and immediately sell it for a $10 profit.
Oil futures are financial contracts in which a buyer and a seller agree to trade a specified number of barrels of oil (usually 1,000) at a fixed price set for a future date. The level at which a futures contract is currently trading is also the price at which the upcoming transaction will take place. For example, if an oil future is currently listed at $75, this will be the level at which the asset will be traded when the contract reaches its expiry date. The person buying the oil is said to be ‘long’ on the future, while the seller is ‘short’.
Patience is a key trait among many traders. It requires confidence in your research and system. The best traders trust their discipline to make them successful. They do not waver from their trailing stop methodology by letting the trade play out. If it incurs a loss, they capture all the relevant information to assess what went right and what went wrong. If their discipline needs to change, then so be it. But whatever you do, do not let your emotions take control—it will inevitably lead to losses.
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Frequently asked questions
Oil futures are contracts in which you agree to exchange a set amount of oil at a set price on a set date in the future. They are the most common method of buying and selling oil.
Oil trading works by enabling you to take a position on whether futures contracts will rise or fall in value. Oil futures allow buyers and sellers of oil to coordinate and agree to deliver particular amounts of physical crude oil on a given date in the future.
Oil spot prices represent the cost of buying or selling oil immediately, or “on the spot”, instead of at a set date in the future. While futures prices reflect how much the markets believe oil will be worth when the future expires, spot prices show how much it is worth right now.
If you choose to buy futures or options directly in oil, you will need to trade them on a commodities exchange. The more common way to invest in oil for the average investor is to buy shares of an oil ETF.
Oil prices fluctuate a lot, which adds to the level of difficulty when trading but also increases potential profitability. Oil is still one of the most in-demand commodities in the world, so if there is a seller for oil, there is always a buyer for it.