Warren Buffett, arguably the most successful investor in history, has a simple yet aggressive investment strategy for his posthumous wealth. In a 2013 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Buffett revealed that 90% of his wealth should be funnelled into a low-cost S&P 500 index fund, with the remaining 10% allocated to short-term government bonds. This strategy, known as the Warren Buffett ETF Portfolio (90/10), is designed to provide long-term growth with reduced risk and lower fees compared to actively managed portfolios.
Characteristics | Values |
---|---|
Risk | Very high |
Investor type | Long-term investors, high-risk investors, investors with high risk tolerance, DIY investors, investors with confidence in market growth |
Asset allocation | 90% stock market, 10% fixed income, 0% commodities |
Returns | 10.50% compound annual return over the previous 30 years |
Drawdown | Maximum drawdown of -45.52% that took 42 months to recover |
Best suited for | Investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns |
ETFs | Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH), iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) |
What You'll Learn
- The 90/10 strategy is high-risk and best suited to long-term investors
- The strategy is simple and aggressive, focusing on large-cap US stocks
- It is designed for investors with a high-risk tolerance
- The portfolio has a very high risk of significant fluctuations in value
- The strategy is inspired by Warren Buffett's investment philosophy
The 90/10 strategy is high-risk and best suited to long-term investors
The 90/10 investment strategy, also known as the Warren Buffett ETF Portfolio, is a high-risk approach best suited to long-term investors.
The strategy involves allocating 90% of an investor's portfolio to low-cost, passively managed S&P 500 index funds or ETFs, and the remaining 10% to short-term government bonds or Treasury bills. This simple and aggressive strategy was proposed by legendary investor Warren Buffett in his 2013 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders.
The 90/10 strategy is high-risk due to its heavy concentration in stocks, which makes it susceptible to market fluctuations and potential short-term losses during downturns. As such, it is not suitable for conservative investors or those with a low-risk tolerance. Instead, it is ideal for long-term investors with a high-risk tolerance, such as those in their 20s to 40s who are saving for retirement. These investors have time on their side to ride out market volatility and benefit from the long-term growth potential of equities.
The S&P 500 component of the strategy is based on Buffett's affinity for large-cap U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 is a popular benchmark globally and has a strong historical performance, making it a challenging index to outperform. By investing in an S&P 500 index fund or ETF, investors gain exposure to a diversified portfolio of blue-chip companies with a proven track record of stability and growth.
The remaining 10% allocation to short-term government bonds or Treasury bills serves as a buffer against market volatility and helps to mitigate risk. U.S. Treasuries are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, making them a safe investment option. Short-term Treasuries are also less susceptible to interest rate hikes and provide a safe haven during market crashes.
While the 90/10 strategy is high-risk and not suitable for everyone, it offers the potential for higher long-term returns due to its significant exposure to stocks. Investors considering this strategy should carefully assess their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and financial goals before implementing it.
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The strategy is simple and aggressive, focusing on large-cap US stocks
The strategy behind the Warren Buffett ETF Portfolio is simple and aggressive, focusing on large-cap US stocks. This strategy is ideal for investors with a high-risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can handle large drawdowns.
The portfolio is constructed with 90% allocated to the stock market and 10% to fixed income, specifically short-term government bonds. This allocation is designed to provide long-term growth while reducing risk and fees compared to actively managed portfolios.
The 90% allocation to stocks provides exposure to a wide range of equities, which have historically delivered strong returns. By investing in a passively managed S&P 500 index ETF, investors gain access to a diversified portfolio of large-cap US companies with strong track records of stability and growth. The S&P 500 is a popular benchmark globally and has proven to be a formidable investment choice over time.
The remaining 10% allocation to short-term government bonds serves as a cushion against market volatility and helps to reduce the overall risk of the portfolio. US Treasuries are considered one of the safest investments due to their backing by the full faith and credit of the US government. Additionally, short-term bonds have the advantage of lower susceptibility to interest rate hikes, resulting in less price volatility for investors.
This strategy is well-suited for long-term investors with a high-risk tolerance, such as those in their 20s to 40s who are saving for retirement. It requires the discipline to stay the course during market downturns and the ability to avoid panic selling or making emotional decisions.
While the strategy is straightforward, it is important to note that past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and investing always carries inherent risks.
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It is designed for investors with a high-risk tolerance
The Warren Buffett ETF Portfolio (90/10) is a high-risk investment strategy designed for investors with a high-risk tolerance. It involves investing 90% of funds in low-cost, passively managed S&P 500 index ETFs and 10% in short-term government bonds. This strategy is based on Warren Buffett's investment philosophy, known for his preference for passive investing and avoidance of high-cost, actively managed funds.
The 90% allocation to S&P 500 index ETFs provides exposure to a broad range of large-cap U.S. equities, which have historically delivered strong returns over long periods. By investing in a diversified portfolio of blue-chip companies, investors can benefit from the stability and growth of these established companies.
The remaining 10% allocation to short-term government bonds serves as a risk-mitigating cushion against market volatility. Bonds are generally less volatile than stocks, and government bonds are considered the safest form of debt due to their government backing. This allocation can provide a safe haven during market downturns and help stabilise the overall portfolio.
While the strategy is designed for high-risk investors, it is important to note that it may not be suitable for everyone. It is a simple and aggressive approach that demands a strong belief in U.S. market outperformance and the ability to withstand market fluctuations.
The 90/10 strategy is ideal for long-term investors, such as those in their 20s to 40s saving for retirement, as it provides the potential for higher long-term returns. It suits individuals who can comfortably endure market fluctuations and have a high tolerance for short-term losses.
Overall, the Warren Buffett ETF Portfolio (90/10) offers a straightforward, cost-effective investment approach for those seeking long-term growth while minimising the risk of underperforming the market.
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The portfolio has a very high risk of significant fluctuations in value
The Warren Buffett ETF Portfolio, also known as the 90/10 strategy, is a high-risk investment strategy. This is due to the portfolio's composition, which consists of 90% stocks and only 10% bonds.
The stock component of the portfolio is made up of low-cost, passively managed S&P 500 index funds or ETFs. These funds track the performance of 500 large, publicly traded US companies and have historically delivered high returns over long periods. By investing in these funds, an investor gains exposure to a diversified portfolio of blue-chip companies with a proven track record.
However, with 90% of the portfolio allocated to stocks, it is highly susceptible to market fluctuations and can experience significant short-term losses during market downturns. This makes the 90/10 strategy much more volatile than other common asset allocation models, such as the traditional 60/40 portfolio (60% equities, 40% bonds).
The remaining 10% of the portfolio is invested in short-term government bonds, specifically US Treasury bills or short-term Treasury ETFs. These investments have maturities of up to three years, with some even maturing in less than a year. While these bonds provide a cushion against market volatility and help to reduce overall portfolio risk, their small allocation means that the risk-mitigating effect is limited.
As a result, the Warren Buffett ETF Portfolio is considered very high risk and may not be suitable for conservative or risk-averse investors. It is designed for investors with a high tolerance for risk who are comfortable with market fluctuations and potential short-term losses.
It is important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and investing in this or any other portfolio carries inherent risks.
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The strategy is inspired by Warren Buffett's investment philosophy
The 90/10 investment strategy is inspired by and named after Warren Buffett's investment advice. In a 2013 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Buffett revealed that upon his passing, 90% of his wealth should be invested in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund, with the remaining 10% in short-term government bonds or treasuries. This strategy is designed for a specific type of investor—one with a high-risk tolerance, a long investment horizon, and a strong belief in the long-term growth of the stock market.
Buffett's recommendation for the S&P 500 stems from his affinity for large-cap US stocks. The S&P 500 is a popular benchmark globally and has proven to be a formidable investment choice. Over the last 15 years, 92.19% of all US large-cap funds failed to outperform the S&P 500 index, making it a challenging benchmark to beat. Its market-cap weighting scheme inherently leans towards successful companies, and its low fees make it an attractive, cost-effective option for investors.
The inclusion of short-term government bonds or treasuries in the 90/10 strategy reflects Buffett's clear skepticism towards longer-term bonds. Short-term treasuries offer several advantages, including ironclad credit quality, low susceptibility to interest rate hikes, and safety during market crashes. They are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government, making them among the most secure investments available.
The 90/10 strategy is a straightforward, passive investment approach that focuses on long-term growth while minimising costs. It aims to capture the overall performance of the market, which has historically delivered strong returns, and reduce the risk of underperforming the market. This strategy may be particularly suitable for investors with a high-risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon, such as those saving for retirement.
However, it's important to note that the 90/10 strategy is very aggressive and may not be suitable for everyone. It carries a high risk and potential for extreme volatility due to its heavy concentration in stocks. Investors need to be comfortable with market fluctuations and short-term losses, and emotionally prepared to stay the course during market downturns.
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